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Pohuant

Currency pair

EUR/USD

The relative news tone between the euro and the US dollar, and the official readings of both currencies side by side, without combining them.

Relative news tone (24 h)

-0.16

The tone of EUR is more negative than that of USD

Low confidence

Declared by the AI and not yet calibrated.

Euro: Based on 10 stories: 3 negative, 0 neutral and 7 positive.US dollar: Based on 63 stories: 9 negative, 3 neutral and 51 positive.

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It is half the difference between the tone of EUR and that of USD. Updated 19 minutes ago

How reliable is it? →How it is calculated

Pohuant publishes general, descriptive information. It is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Trading in the markets involves a risk of loss.

Readings by factor

Where each official series stands against its own history. These are not forecasts.

Euro (EUR)

Relative strength

  • Performance against the other 7 currencies, 20 sessions (ECB rates)

    -2.15 %

    Percentile 3 of 5 years · Very low

    -0.49 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 28, 2026

  • Performance against the other 7 currencies, 60 sessions (ECB rates)

    -2.42 %

    Percentile 6 of 5 years · Very low

    -0.51 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 28, 2026

Macro

  • Macro momentum: official indicators against their trend (−1 to 1)

    0.19 index

    Percentile 89 of 5 years · High

    +0.09 index over 1 week · Data as of Oct 21, 2026

CFTC positioning

  • Asset managers' net position in CME futures (% of open interest)

    21.7 %

    Percentile 1 of 3 years · Very low

    -1.2 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 20, 2026

  • Leveraged funds' net position in CME futures (% of open interest)

    -7.8 %

    Percentile 1 of 3 years · Very low

    -0.1 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 20, 2026

Rates and curves

  • Central bank policy rate

    2.5 %

    Percentile 59 of 5 years · Usual

    +25 bp over 3 months · Data as of Oct 20, 2026

  • 10-year bond

    3.37 %

    Percentile 97 of 5 years · Very high

    -6.9 bp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 27, 2026

  • 2-year bond

    3.02 %

    Percentile 91 of 5 years · Very high

    -1.3 bp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 27, 2026

Valuation

  • Real effective exchange rate against its 10-year trend

    3 %

    Percentile 92 of 15 years · Very high

    +0.6 pp over 1 month · Data as of Sep 30, 2026

US dollar (USD)

Relative strength

  • Performance against the other 7 currencies, 20 sessions (ECB rates)

    0.11 %

    Percentile 49 of 5 years · Usual

    -0.02 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 28, 2026

  • Performance against the other 7 currencies, 60 sessions (ECB rates)

    1.83 %

    Percentile 71 of 5 years · High

    +2.26 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 28, 2026

Macro

  • Macro momentum: official indicators against their trend (−1 to 1)

    0.04 index

    Percentile 58 of 5 years · Usual

    +0.13 index over 1 week · Data as of Oct 20, 2026

Rates and curves

  • Central bank policy rate

    3.88 %

    Percentile 43 of 5 years · Usual

    +25 bp over 3 months · Data as of Oct 20, 2026

  • 10-year bond

    4.99 %

    Percentile 98 of 5 years · Very high

    -13 bp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 27, 2026

  • 2-year bond

    4.7 %

    Percentile 83 of 5 years · High

    -9 bp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 27, 2026

Valuation

  • Real effective exchange rate against its 10-year trend

    4.4 %

    Percentile 25 of 15 years · Low

    -1.2 pp over 1 month · Data as of Sep 30, 2026

USD positioning is not directly observed in CFTC data; it is not shown.

Recent news

Headline and link to the original outlet, with our own summary and the tone for this page.

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