Currency pair
EUR/CAD
The relative news tone between the euro and the Canadian dollar, and the official readings of both currencies side by side, without combining them.
Relative news tone (24 h)
-0.33
The tone of EUR is more negative than that of CAD
Low confidence
Declared by the AI and not yet calibrated.
It is half the difference between the tone of EUR and that of CAD. Updated 10 hours ago
Pohuant publishes general, descriptive information. It is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Trading in the markets involves a risk of loss.
Readings by factor
Where each official series stands against its own history. These are not forecasts.
Euro (EUR)
Relative strength
Performance against the other 7 currencies, 20 sessions (ECB rates)
-2.15 %
Percentile 3 of 5 years · Very low
-0.49 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 28, 2026
Performance against the other 7 currencies, 60 sessions (ECB rates)
-2.42 %
Percentile 6 of 5 years · Very low
-0.51 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 28, 2026
Macro
Macro momentum: official indicators against their trend (−1 to 1)
0.19 index
Percentile 89 of 5 years · High
+0.09 index over 1 week · Data as of Oct 21, 2026
CFTC positioning
Asset managers' net position in CME futures (% of open interest)
21.7 %
Percentile 1 of 3 years · Very low
-1.2 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 20, 2026
Leveraged funds' net position in CME futures (% of open interest)
-7.8 %
Percentile 1 of 3 years · Very low
-0.1 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 20, 2026
Rates and curves
Central bank policy rate
2.5 %
Percentile 59 of 5 years · Usual
+25 bp over 3 months · Data as of Oct 20, 2026
10-year bond
3.37 %
Percentile 97 of 5 years · Very high
-6.9 bp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 27, 2026
2-year bond
3.02 %
Percentile 91 of 5 years · Very high
-1.3 bp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 27, 2026
Valuation
Real effective exchange rate against its 10-year trend
3 %
Percentile 92 of 15 years · Very high
+0.6 pp over 1 month · Data as of Sep 30, 2026
Canadian dollar (CAD)
Relative strength
Performance against the other 7 currencies, 20 sessions (ECB rates)
1.21 %
Percentile 88 of 5 years · High
+0.74 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 28, 2026
Performance against the other 7 currencies, 60 sessions (ECB rates)
1.83 %
Percentile 88 of 5 years · High
+1.79 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 28, 2026
Macro
Macro momentum: official indicators against their trend (−1 to 1)
0.02 index
Percentile 34 of 5 years · Usual
+0.1 index over 1 week · Data as of Oct 24, 2026
CFTC positioning
Asset managers' net position in CME futures (% of open interest)
-1.4 %
Percentile 85 of 3 years · High
+6.7 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 20, 2026
Leveraged funds' net position in CME futures (% of open interest)
-23.7 %
Percentile 34 of 3 years · Usual
-0.5 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 20, 2026
Rates and curves
Central bank policy rate
2.25 %
Percentile 34 of 5 years · Usual
No measurable change · Data as of Oct 19, 2026
10-year bond (monthly average)
3.88 %
Percentile 98 of 5 years · Very high
+20.75 bp over 1 month · Data as of Sep 1, 2026
Valuation
Real effective exchange rate against its 10-year trend
-5.7 %
Percentile 45 of 15 years · Usual
-0.1 pp over 1 month · Data as of Sep 30, 2026
Recent news
Headline and link to the original outlet, with our own summary and the tone for this page.
Le Monde EN - Economy ·
European Central Bank meets as France's deteriorating public finances continue to drive questionsThe ECB meets as France's worsening public finances raise questions; most expect rates to stay unchanged after two increases this year, with President Lagarde speaking in Bangkok on October 14, 2026.
- Euro: positive tone
Bloomberg - Economics ·
France Debt Crisis: How Does It Compare With Greece?Subscription outlet: headline and link only.
- Euro: negative tone
Bloomberg - Economics ·
ECB Set to Hold Rates to Assess France and Energy RisksSubscription outlet: headline and link only.
- Euro: positive tone
Meduza ·
Kremlin says U.S.-Russia-Ukraine peace talks will take place in Abu Dhabi after November 4, depending on battlefield conditionsThe Kremlin said trilateral talks among the US, Russia and Ukraine will be held in Abu Dhabi after November 4, with timing tied to battlefield conditions. Zelensky mentioned November 10 as a possible date.
- Euro: positive tone
Bloomberg - Economics ·
Bank of Canada Chief Tiff Macklem Warns US Deficits Are Costly and UnsustainableSubscription outlet: headline and link only.
- Canadian dollar: neutral tone
Bloomberg - Economics ·
Bank of Canada Rate Hike Hurts Housing Market Already in SlumpSubscription outlet: headline and link only.
- Canadian dollar: positive tone
WSJ - World News ·
Growth Plays Key Supporting Role in Bank of Canada Rate-Hike DecisionSubscription outlet: headline and link only.
- Canadian dollar: positive tone
Al Jazeera English ·
Bank of Canada raises interest rates for the first time in three yearsThe Bank of Canada lifted its key interest rate by a quarter point, its first increase in three years, as rising energy prices drove inflation higher.
- Canadian dollar: positive tone
Bloomberg - Politics ·
Zelenskyy Expects US-Ukraine-Russia Talks as Early As Next WeekSubscription outlet: headline and link only.
- Euro: positive tone
Bloomberg - Markets ·
Bank of Canada Raises Interest Rates to 2.5%, First Hike Since 2023Subscription outlet: headline and link only.
- Canadian dollar: positive tone
investingLive (ex-ForexLive) ·
BOC's Macklem: Our surveys show businesses are planning to pass on more of these cost increasesBank of Canada Governor Macklem said energy prices have stayed high for months and firms plan to pass more costs to consumers, with no preset rate path.
- Canadian dollar: positive tone
Meduza ·
Putin turns a half-hour call with European leaders into a 90-minute history lecture. Trump says a three-way summit could happen ‘very soon.’President Trump said a three-way summit with Putin and Zelensky could occur soon and expected significant progress, without giving a date or venue.
- Euro: positive tone
investingLive (ex-ForexLive) ·
The full statement from the Bank of Canada rate decision for October 2026. Hikes by 25 basis pointsEl Banco de Canadá subió su tasa objetivo en 25 puntos básicos, a 2,5%, con la tasa bancaria en 2,75% y la de depósitos en 2,45%. Señaló que la actividad global siguió resiliente pese a los mayores precios de la energía.(Summary available in Spanish.)
- Canadian dollar: positive tone
investingLive (ex-ForexLive) ·
Bank of Canada rate decision: Hike to 2.50%El Banco de Canadá subió la tasa a 2,50%, como esperaba el mercado. Dijo que la inflación es más alta y persistente que en julio, y que podrían necesitarse más alzas, pero el Consejo actuará con cautela.(Summary available in Spanish.)
- Canadian dollar: positive tone
Bloomberg - Economics ·
Bank of Canada Hikes to 2.5%, Says More Could Be NeededSubscription outlet: headline and link only.
- Canadian dollar: positive tone
Bloomberg - Markets ·
European Gas Hits €100 for First Time Since 2022 Energy CrisisSubscription outlet: headline and link only.
- Euro: negative tone
investingLive (ex-ForexLive) ·
The USDCAD is trading in a neutral swing area ahead of the Bank of Canada rate decisionAhead of the Bank of Canada's rate announcement, USDCAD sits in a neutral range. Economists are split, with 19 of 34 Reuters respondents expecting a hike and markets pricing about a 77% chance of one.
- Canadian dollar: positive tone
investingLive (ex-ForexLive) ·
The market is pricing in a 78% chance of a Bank of Canada rate hikeMarkets now assign a 78% probability to a Bank of Canada hike at today's decision, after Macklem's IMF remarks shifted pricing sharply hawkish. Traders also price 31 basis points of increases by year-end and 100 over the coming year.
- Canadian dollar: positive tone
investingLive (ex-ForexLive) ·
Morning Kickstart: Dollar mixed ahead of Fed, BoC and Big Tech earningsThe dollar traded mixed before central bank decisions from Canada and the US and major tech earnings. New Zealand's central bank unexpectedly kept rates unchanged, while hawkish Australian inflation and RBA remarks lifted the Australian dollar and weighed on the kiwi.
- Canadian dollar: neutral tone
investingLive (ex-ForexLive) ·
EUR/USD nears key 1.1067 swing level ahead of Fed and ECB decisions. What's next?EUR/USD is approaching the 1.1067 swing level before Fed and ECB decisions. The Fed is expected to keep rates unchanged, with Chair Warsh's wording the key focus and a hawkish hold seen as the base case.
- Euro: negative tone
Other pairs
Currency pair
EUR/USD
Euro · US dollar
-0.16
−10+1Negative tone · 72 stories
Currency pair
USD/CAD
US dollar · Canadian dollar
-0.17
−10+1Negative tone · 74 stories
Currency pair
EUR/GBP
Euro · British pound
+0.02
−10+1Neutral tone · 28 stories
Currency pair
EUR/JPY
Euro · Japanese yen
-0.24
−10+1Negative tone · 12 stories
Currency pair
EUR/CHF
Euro · Swiss franc
Not enough news in the last 24 hours.
Currency pair
EUR/AUD
Euro · Australian dollar
-0.31
−10+1Negative tone · 13 stories
Currency pair
EUR/NZD
Euro · New Zealand dollar
-0.08
−10+1Negative tone · 17 stories
Currency pair
GBP/CAD
British pound · Canadian dollar
-0.35
−10+1Negative tone · 30 stories
Currency pair
AUD/CAD
Australian dollar · Canadian dollar
-0.02
−10+1Neutral tone · 14 stories
Currency pair
NZD/CAD
New Zealand dollar · Canadian dollar
-0.26
−10+1Negative tone · 18 stories
Currency pair
CAD/JPY
Canadian dollar · Japanese yen
+0.09
−10+1Positive tone · 14 stories
Currency pair
CAD/CHF
Canadian dollar · Swiss franc
Not enough news in the last 24 hours.