Currency pair

AUD/CAD

The relative news tone between the Australian dollar and the Canadian dollar, and the official readings of both currencies side by side, without combining them.

Relative news tone (24 h)

-0.02

Similar tone for AUD and CAD

−10+1

Medium confidence

Declared by the AI and not yet calibrated.

Australian dollar: Based on 3 stories: 0 negative, 0 neutral and 3 positive.Canadian dollar: Based on 12 stories: 0 negative, 2 neutral and 10 positive.

See the news ↓

It is half the difference between the tone of AUD and that of CAD. Updated 10 hours ago

How reliable is it? →How it is calculated

Pohuant publishes general, descriptive information. It is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Trading in the markets involves a risk of loss.

Readings by factor

Where each official series stands against its own history. These are not forecasts.

Australian dollar (AUD)

Relative strength

Performance against the other 7 currencies, 20 sessions (ECB rates)
1.17 %
Percentile 78 of 5 years · High
+1.59 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 28, 2026
Performance against the other 7 currencies, 60 sessions (ECB rates)
1.52 %
Percentile 68 of 5 years · Usual
+0.42 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 28, 2026

Macro

Macro momentum: official indicators against their trend (−1 to 1)
-0.24 index
Percentile 11 of 5 years · Low
+0.02 index over 1 week · Data as of Oct 20, 2026

CFTC positioning

Asset managers' net position in CME futures (% of open interest)
-38.7 %
Percentile 16 of 3 years · Low
-4.5 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 20, 2026
Leveraged funds' net position in CME futures (% of open interest)
15.8 %
Percentile 83 of 3 years · High
+0.9 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 20, 2026

Rates and curves

Central bank policy rate
4.6 %
Percentile 100 of 5 years · Very high
+25 bp over 3 months · Data as of Oct 15, 2026
10-year bond (monthly average)
5.28 %
Percentile 100 of 5 years · Very high
+26.8 bp over 1 month · Data as of Sep 1, 2026

Valuation

Real effective exchange rate against its 10-year trend
8.7 %
Percentile 88 of 15 years · High
+0.8 pp over 1 month · Data as of Sep 30, 2026

Canadian dollar (CAD)

Relative strength

Performance against the other 7 currencies, 20 sessions (ECB rates)
1.21 %
Percentile 88 of 5 years · High
+0.74 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 28, 2026
Performance against the other 7 currencies, 60 sessions (ECB rates)
1.83 %
Percentile 88 of 5 years · High
+1.79 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 28, 2026

Macro

Macro momentum: official indicators against their trend (−1 to 1)
0.02 index
Percentile 34 of 5 years · Usual
+0.1 index over 1 week · Data as of Oct 24, 2026

CFTC positioning

Asset managers' net position in CME futures (% of open interest)
-1.4 %
Percentile 85 of 3 years · High
+6.7 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 20, 2026
Leveraged funds' net position in CME futures (% of open interest)
-23.7 %
Percentile 34 of 3 years · Usual
-0.5 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 20, 2026

Rates and curves

Central bank policy rate
2.25 %
Percentile 34 of 5 years · Usual
No measurable change · Data as of Oct 19, 2026
10-year bond (monthly average)
3.88 %
Percentile 98 of 5 years · Very high
+20.75 bp over 1 month · Data as of Sep 1, 2026

Valuation

Real effective exchange rate against its 10-year trend
-5.7 %
Percentile 45 of 15 years · Usual
-0.1 pp over 1 month · Data as of Sep 30, 2026

Recent news

Headline and link to the original outlet, with our own summary and the tone for this page.

investingLive (ex-ForexLive) · 4 hours ago
RBA set for fifth 2026 hike to 4.85% as banks flag risk of another move in February
Los principales bancos australianos ahora esperan que el Banco de la Reserva de Australia suba las tasas el 3 de noviembre, lo que llevaría la tasa de efectivo a 4,85%, un quinto aumento este año. La atención está en la orientación del RBA y si insinúa otro movimiento en febrero.(Summary available in Spanish.)
- Australian dollar: positive tone
Bloomberg - Economics · 10 hours ago
Bank of Canada Chief Tiff Macklem Warns US Deficits Are Costly and Unsustainable
Subscription outlet: headline and link only.
- Canadian dollar: neutral tone
Bloomberg - Economics · 11 hours ago
Bank of Canada Rate Hike Hurts Housing Market Already in Slump
Subscription outlet: headline and link only.
- Canadian dollar: positive tone
WSJ - World News · 13 hours ago
Growth Plays Key Supporting Role in Bank of Canada Rate-Hike Decision
Subscription outlet: headline and link only.
- Canadian dollar: positive tone
Al Jazeera English · 15 hours ago
Bank of Canada raises interest rates for the first time in three years
The Bank of Canada lifted its key interest rate by a quarter point, its first increase in three years, as rising energy prices drove inflation higher.
- Canadian dollar: positive tone
investingLive (ex-ForexLive) · 15 hours ago
AUDUSD ping-pongs between moving averages. What would break the stalemate?
Australian inflation accelerated to 4.3% in September and RBA Governor Bullock said price growth may exceed the bank's August projections, keeping a possible rate increase in view. AUDUSD rose on the news, then pulled back between its 200-day and 100-hour moving averages.
- Australian dollar: positive tone
Bloomberg - Markets · 16 hours ago
Bank of Canada Raises Interest Rates to 2.5%, First Hike Since 2023
Subscription outlet: headline and link only.
- Canadian dollar: positive tone
investingLive (ex-ForexLive) · 17 hours ago
BOC's Macklem: Our surveys show businesses are planning to pass on more of these cost increases
Bank of Canada Governor Macklem said energy prices have stayed high for months and firms plan to pass more costs to consumers, with no preset rate path.
- Canadian dollar: positive tone
investingLive (ex-ForexLive) · 18 hours ago
The full statement from the Bank of Canada rate decision for October 2026. Hikes by 25 basis points
El Banco de Canadá subió su tasa objetivo en 25 puntos básicos, a 2,5%, con la tasa bancaria en 2,75% y la de depósitos en 2,45%. Señaló que la actividad global siguió resiliente pese a los mayores precios de la energía.(Summary available in Spanish.)
- Canadian dollar: positive tone
investingLive (ex-ForexLive) · 18 hours ago
Bank of Canada rate decision: Hike to 2.50%
El Banco de Canadá subió la tasa a 2,50%, como esperaba el mercado. Dijo que la inflación es más alta y persistente que en julio, y que podrían necesitarse más alzas, pero el Consejo actuará con cautela.(Summary available in Spanish.)
- Canadian dollar: positive tone
Bloomberg - Economics · 18 hours ago
Bank of Canada Hikes to 2.5%, Says More Could Be Needed
Subscription outlet: headline and link only.
- Canadian dollar: positive tone
investingLive (ex-ForexLive) · 18 hours ago
The USDCAD is trading in a neutral swing area ahead of the Bank of Canada rate decision
Ahead of the Bank of Canada's rate announcement, USDCAD sits in a neutral range. Economists are split, with 19 of 34 Reuters respondents expecting a hike and markets pricing about a 77% chance of one.
- Canadian dollar: positive tone
investingLive (ex-ForexLive) · 18 hours ago
The market is pricing in a 78% chance of a Bank of Canada rate hike
Markets now assign a 78% probability to a Bank of Canada hike at today's decision, after Macklem's IMF remarks shifted pricing sharply hawkish. Traders also price 31 basis points of increases by year-end and 100 over the coming year.
- Canadian dollar: positive tone
investingLive (ex-ForexLive) · 19 hours ago
Morning Kickstart: Dollar mixed ahead of Fed, BoC and Big Tech earnings
The dollar traded mixed before central bank decisions from Canada and the US and major tech earnings. New Zealand's central bank unexpectedly kept rates unchanged, while hawkish Australian inflation and RBA remarks lifted the Australian dollar and weighed on the kiwi.
- Australian dollar: positive tone
- Canadian dollar: neutral tone
investingLive (ex-ForexLive) · 1 day ago
AUD/USD struggles to break key resistance despite hot Australia CPI and hawkish RBA
Australian consumer inflation came in above forecasts and the RBA governor said price growth is still far too high, keeping expectations of another rate increase alive. AUD/USD nonetheless stayed near 0.7030, blocked by its 100-day and 200-day averages.
- Australian dollar: positive tone
Japan Times · 1 day ago
Xi’s military purges make U.S. deterrence more urgent
An opinion piece argues that Xi Jinping's purges of China's military have centralized his authority and increased the danger of a move against Taiwan.
- Australian dollar: negative tone
investingLive (ex-ForexLive) · 1 day ago
European markets brace for Fed decision as hot Australia CPI, RBNZ surprise and oil rally stir nerves
Australian inflation came in above expectations, prompting RBA Governor Bullock to say price pressures remain far too high. The RBNZ unexpectedly held its cash rate at 2.75%, sending the New Zealand dollar sharply lower.
- Australian dollar: positive tone
investingLive (ex-ForexLive) · 1 day ago
investingLive Asia-Pacific market news: Hawkish RBA, surprise RBNZ hold lift AUD/NZD
The RBA struck a hawkish tone, with Governor Bullock saying inflation remains far too high, while the RBNZ unexpectedly held rates in a 4-3 vote and signaled more hikes may come.
- Australian dollar: positive tone
Bloomberg - Economics · 1 day ago
Commonwealth Bank Now Expects RBA to Hike to 4.85% in November
Subscription outlet: headline and link only.
- Australian dollar: positive tone
Bloomberg - Markets · 1 day ago
New Zealand Dollar Slides Most Versus Aussie Since 2017 on RBNZ
Subscription outlet: headline and link only.
- Australian dollar: positive tone

Relative news tone (24 h)

Readings by factor

Australian dollar (AUD)

Relative strength

Macro

CFTC positioning

Rates and curves

Valuation

Canadian dollar (CAD)

Relative strength

Macro

CFTC positioning

Rates and curves

Valuation

Recent news

Other pairs