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Pohuant

Currency pair

AUD/USD

The relative news tone between the Australian dollar and the US dollar, and the official readings of both currencies side by side, without combining them.

Relative news tone (24 h)

+0.15

The tone of AUD is more positive than that of USD

Medium confidence

Declared by the AI and not yet calibrated.

Australian dollar: Based on 3 stories: 0 negative, 0 neutral and 3 positive.US dollar: Based on 63 stories: 9 negative, 3 neutral and 51 positive.

See the news ↓

It is half the difference between the tone of AUD and that of USD. Updated 3 hours ago

How reliable is it? →How it is calculated

Pohuant publishes general, descriptive information. It is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Trading in the markets involves a risk of loss.

Readings by factor

Where each official series stands against its own history. These are not forecasts.

Australian dollar (AUD)

Relative strength

  • Performance against the other 7 currencies, 20 sessions (ECB rates)

    1.17 %

    Percentile 78 of 5 years · High

    +1.59 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 28, 2026

  • Performance against the other 7 currencies, 60 sessions (ECB rates)

    1.52 %

    Percentile 68 of 5 years · Usual

    +0.42 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 28, 2026

Macro

  • Macro momentum: official indicators against their trend (−1 to 1)

    -0.24 index

    Percentile 11 of 5 years · Low

    +0.02 index over 1 week · Data as of Oct 20, 2026

CFTC positioning

  • Asset managers' net position in CME futures (% of open interest)

    -38.7 %

    Percentile 16 of 3 years · Low

    -4.5 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 20, 2026

  • Leveraged funds' net position in CME futures (% of open interest)

    15.8 %

    Percentile 83 of 3 years · High

    +0.9 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 20, 2026

Rates and curves

  • Central bank policy rate

    4.6 %

    Percentile 100 of 5 years · Very high

    +25 bp over 3 months · Data as of Oct 15, 2026

  • 10-year bond (monthly average)

    5.28 %

    Percentile 100 of 5 years · Very high

    +26.8 bp over 1 month · Data as of Sep 1, 2026

Valuation

  • Real effective exchange rate against its 10-year trend

    8.7 %

    Percentile 88 of 15 years · High

    +0.8 pp over 1 month · Data as of Sep 30, 2026

US dollar (USD)

Relative strength

  • Performance against the other 7 currencies, 20 sessions (ECB rates)

    0.11 %

    Percentile 49 of 5 years · Usual

    -0.02 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 28, 2026

  • Performance against the other 7 currencies, 60 sessions (ECB rates)

    1.83 %

    Percentile 71 of 5 years · High

    +2.26 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 28, 2026

Macro

  • Macro momentum: official indicators against their trend (−1 to 1)

    0.04 index

    Percentile 58 of 5 years · Usual

    +0.13 index over 1 week · Data as of Oct 20, 2026

Rates and curves

  • Central bank policy rate

    3.88 %

    Percentile 43 of 5 years · Usual

    +25 bp over 3 months · Data as of Oct 20, 2026

  • 10-year bond

    4.99 %

    Percentile 98 of 5 years · Very high

    -13 bp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 27, 2026

  • 2-year bond

    4.7 %

    Percentile 83 of 5 years · High

    -9 bp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 27, 2026

Valuation

  • Real effective exchange rate against its 10-year trend

    4.4 %

    Percentile 25 of 15 years · Low

    -1.2 pp over 1 month · Data as of Sep 30, 2026

USD positioning is not directly observed in CFTC data; it is not shown.

Recent news

Headline and link to the original outlet, with our own summary and the tone for this page.

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